What Americans think about Trump's judgment on military force as Iran talks resume: new AP-NORC poll
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A new AP-NORC poll finds that as the U.S. and Iran head into their next round of nuclear talks in Geneva, many U.S. adults continue to view Iran’s nuclear program as a threat. President Donald Trump delivers the State of the Union address to a joint session of Congress in the House chamber at the U.S. Capitol in Washington, Tuesday, Feb. 24, 2026.
AI Summary
Main Idea: A new AP-NORC poll shows many Americans see Iran as a threat, but they have limited trust in President Donald Trump’s judgment on using military force.
Key Points:
- About half of U.S. adults say they are highly concerned that Iran’s nuclear program could threaten the United States.
- Roughly 6 in 10 Americans call Iran an enemy, and only about 1 in 10 see the two countries as friendly.
- Only about 3 in 10 adults say they have a lot of trust in Trump’s judgment on military force, adversaries, or nuclear weapons.
- Republicans are more trusting of Trump than Democrats, but younger Republicans are less confident than older Republicans.
Impact on the People
Negative Impact
Iran tensions and doubts about Trump’s judgment can raise the risk of war, which could unsettle markets, lift energy costs, and worry households and small businesses.
Positive Impact
The poll may push voters and lawmakers to demand more caution, which could support diplomacy and lower the chance of costly military action.
How did each entity affect people?
Rate how each entity in this article affected the American people.
- Primary:President Donald Trumpperson
Candidate Entities7 candidates · 5 weighted vote min · 70% decision
- President Donald TrumppersonPrimaryEvaluated
Central named political figure; the article is largely about Americans’ trust in his judgment on military force and.
Include 0 (0%)Ignore 0 (0%)5 to threshold - AP-NORC Center for Public Affairs Researcheducational / research institutionMajorAI selected
Co-producer of the poll that is the basis for the article’s main findings.
Include 0 (0%)Ignore 0 (0%)5 to threshold - International Atomic Energy Agencyinternational organizationMajorAI selected
Named global nuclear watchdog cited for its role in monitoring Iran’s enrichment activities and inspections.
Include 0 (0%)Ignore 0 (0%)5 to threshold - OmancountryMajorAI selected
Acting as mediator in the nuclear talks, with its foreign ministry hosting the negotiations.
Include 0 (0%)Ignore 0 (0%)5 to threshold - White House special envoy Steve WitkoffpersonMajorAI selected
Named U.S. negotiator directly involved in the Iran talks.
Include 0 (0%)Ignore 0 (0%)5 to threshold - Jared KushnerpersonContextCandidate
Named participant in the Geneva negotiations, but not the article’s main focus.
Include 0 (0%)Ignore 0 (0%)5 to threshold - Sayyid Badr bin Hamad Al BusaidipersonContextCandidate
Named Omani foreign minister involved in the mediation talks, but not a primary focus.
Include 0 (0%)Ignore 0 (0%)5 to threshold
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